Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.406640 1.752373 2.215823 2.910648 3.982965e+00 5.693519 8.947814
2025-10-19 0.964389 1.315664 1.863571 2.869597 4.945631e+00 10.077522 31.813838
2025-10-26 0.740075 1.061364 1.608195 2.750401 5.668938e+00 16.547499 201.470475
2025-11-02 0.627251 0.935995 1.500483 2.821443 6.996614e+00 33.552817 NaN
2025-11-09 0.556716 0.858927 1.446720 2.973909 8.998424e+00 95.442120 NaN
2025-11-16 0.492962 0.777570 1.354805 2.970827 1.058236e+01 341.177319 NaN
2025-11-23 0.436330 0.697900 1.242808 2.845745 1.142905e+01 1969.224720 NaN
2025-11-30 0.406338 0.663643 1.221948 2.997722 1.489105e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.374707 0.620557 1.168900 3.011416 1.773178e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.343487 0.573716 1.096026 2.913236 1.931143e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.319205 0.538065 1.043831 2.872690 2.196279e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.310594 0.534088 1.071991 3.196345 3.582665e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.297013 0.518026 1.065823 3.378356 5.430773e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.279379 0.490948 1.023655 3.356779 6.834965e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.260827 0.459874 0.964576 3.212110 7.359669e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.249666 0.444381 0.948093 3.302617 1.123637e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.241537 0.434890 0.947543 3.495822 2.309494e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.230408 0.417236 0.918747 3.491948 3.654163e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.217643 0.394631 0.871070 3.333540 3.945887e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.211799 0.387913 0.872485 3.526123 1.700990e+03 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.203666 0.374952 0.851616 3.543534 7.977799e+03 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.194172 0.357969 0.815181 3.418919 1.615737e+04 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.186424 0.344698 0.789374 3.367599 3.062787e+06 NaN NaN